I am liberal in my political leanings, but also generally skeptical. Regardless of the cause a claim might aid, I tend to question it.
And that is the case with a recent finding touted with this headline: Debunking fears: Latino growth does not boost crime.
In the lead paragraph I encountered a sentence which raised a red flag in my mind. See if it raises one in yours:
[A] new study from North Carolina State University debunks those fears [of increased crime and more], showing that the introduction of Latinos contributes to positive changes, not negative ones.
The flag? Gross-simplification alert. It seems to me that the introduction of Latinos to a community would involve a whole host of variables. What Latinos (from where, what age, what job skills, etc., etc.)? What communities (how large, how diverse, how affluent or not, job availability, etc., etc.)?
And as for the changes “contributed to,” they were all positive? Were all measured?
Some of my questions were answered by a description of the study, which was based on data from “the U.S. Census and other sources”:
The study examined the effects of significant Latino population growth between 1990 and 2000 in nonmetropolitan “boomtowns,” which emerged as Latinos arrived to fill new jobs in low-wage industries, especially meat processing.
Huh? From that kind of circumscribed data, they have debunked fears and shown that the introduction of Latinos contributes to positive changes only?
Mind you, it may be the case. But I’m skeptical. This finding may also be a case of adroit data-mining.
My own guess is that if you introduced a large number of Latinos into a non-boomtown area, the results might be different. Just as the case would likely be if introducing a large number of Canadians (of similar affluence, education, etc.).
Yes, there is too much stupid xenophobia in our society. But let’s not attempt to counter-act it with bogusly big claims generated by relatively weak science.
Better writing, more scientific writing, might have generated a title and content worded something like this alternative: “Challenging fears: Latino population growth alone not linked to crime.”
Technorati Links: politics, race, skepticism